Modest House Price Drop

Category House Prices

 

But First Time Buyer Purchase Price Rise, Bank Decline Ratios Decrease

 According to the oobarometer price index released by ooba, South Africa’s leading bond originator, negative year-on-year price growth of 1.1% to R 823 476 was recorded in October 2011, down from R 832 705 in October 2010. However, the average first-time buyer's purchase price increased by 4.1% to R 625 483, while the average bank decline ratio decreased by 1.30% in October to 44.4%.

 

According to Saul Geffen, CEO of ooba, property prices have continued to drift sideways, tending towards slight negative nominal price growth for the last two quarters.

 

Geffen says that the average first time buyer’s purchase price has seen consistent growth over the past six months, which he attributes to the sustained lower interest rates, combined with the ongoing easing in lending conditions. “The proportion of first time buyers as a percentage of total applications continued to rise, increasing to 52.71%, up from 52.0% in September 2011 and 47.63% in October 2010.”

 

He says that rising housing costs and increased municipal and utilities tariffs are causing many home buyers to opt for smaller, more cost effective houses, which is shifting the mix of properties in the price index and it may therefore not be an apples to apples comparison. “The rising costs of home ownership and the changing economic and racial demographics amongst home buyers are influencing demand at the lower to middle end of the housing market.”

 

The oobarometer also revealed that the average deposit size decreased by 1.1% in October. The average deposit is now equivalent to 18.1% of the purchase price or R149 089.

 

The average approved bond size dropped slightly in October by 0.9% to R674 387, from R680 455 a year earlier.  

 

 Full oobarometer analysis:

 

Indicator

October

2011

October

2010

Change yr on yr

(Oct 11 vs Oct 10)

September

2011

Change month

on month

(Oct 11 to Sep 11)

Avg purchase price

823,476

832,705

-1.1%

838,645

-1.8%

Avg purchase price

of  first time buyer

625,483

601,039

4.1%

619,920

0.9%

Avg approved bond size

674,387

680,455

-0.9%

731,828

-7.8%

 

Avg deposit (as % of purchase price)

 

18.1%

(R149,089)

18.3%

(R152,250)

-1.1%

12.7%

(R106,817)

42.5%

Avg age of applicant

36

37

1 Year Younger

37

1 Year Younger

Avg initial decline ratio

(first bank decline)

44.4%

45.7%

-1.30%

45.9%

-1.5%

 

Ratio of applications declined by one lender but approved by another

 

22.0%

29.2%

-7.2%

22.5%

-0.5%

Effective approval ratio

65.4%

67.6%

-2.2%

64.4%

1.0%

 

 

 

 

Submitted 17 Nov 11 / Views 695
 
 

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